Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XTZ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-05-18 0.516485 0.573338 0.634680 0.705917 0.786536 0.875135 0.980131
2025-05-25 0.414804 0.490654 0.578704 0.689026 0.824327 0.985833 1.194676
2025-06-01 0.368631 0.454954 0.560231 0.699195 0.879460 1.107666 1.422048
2025-06-08 0.329162 0.420006 0.535199 0.693723 0.908926 1.194833 1.610064
2025-06-15 0.302691 0.397471 0.521778 0.699196 0.949926 1.297731 1.827637
2025-06-22 0.275492 0.370647 0.499075 0.688198 0.964938 1.363602 1.997307
2025-06-29 0.253909 0.349153 0.481071 0.680948 0.982921 1.433432 2.178570
2025-07-06 0.228964 0.320667 0.450477 0.651959 0.964775 1.445727 2.269149
2025-07-13 0.217812 0.310963 0.445883 0.660720 1.004121 1.549481 2.518840
2025-07-20 0.207620 0.301747 0.441024 0.668182 1.041401 1.652681 2.779088
2025-07-27 0.198407 0.293219 0.436358 0.675174 1.077960 1.757492 3.054171
2025-08-03 0.189431 0.284345 0.430352 0.679199 1.109425 1.855998 3.329200
2025-08-10 0.181828 0.277277 0.426936 0.687632 1.149981 1.976096 3.664505
2025-08-17 0.169946 0.262625 0.410299 0.672343 1.147304 2.017537 3.851054
2025-08-24 0.164048 0.257240 0.408392 0.682162 1.190552 2.148644 4.237949
2025-08-31 0.155844 0.247495 0.398463 0.676848 1.204954 2.225347 4.519987
2025-09-07 0.150192 0.241639 0.394681 0.682167 1.239744 2.345526 4.914014
2025-09-14 0.142292 0.231473 0.382756 0.671477 1.242219 2.399932 5.166094
2025-09-21 0.135581 0.222966 0.373192 0.664429 1.251155 2.468442 5.460904
2025-09-28 0.126106 0.209122 0.353309 0.636248 1.214690 2.436072 5.506391
2025-10-05 0.122756 0.205919 0.352420 0.644766 1.254774 2.574862 5.999277
2025-10-12 0.119420 0.202543 0.350979 0.652020 1.292746 2.712965 6.512828
2025-10-19 0.116213 0.199213 0.349396 0.658817 1.330256 2.854064 7.057957